Mizuho sees Meta stock benefiting from ad growth and Gen-AI potential

On Thursday, Mizuho Securities sustained its positive stance on Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:), lifting its price target to $650 from the previous $600 while keeping an Outperform rating on the stock.

The adjustment comes as the firm’s checks on advertising spending reveal performance surpassing the consensus and reaching the higher end of the company’s guidance, which anticipates a 20% year-over-year growth.

The analyst at Mizuho highlighted the additional revenue potential stemming from political advertising. Despite the expectation that capital expenditures (capex) might rise following the second-quarter guidance of a 37% year-over-year increase, it was noted that Meta has operational expenditure (opex) flexibility that could balance the heightened depreciation costs.

In justification of the new price target, Mizuho increased its target multiple for Meta’s fiscal year 2026 enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) to 13 times, up from 12 times. This adjustment reflects the high end of the stock’s historical range.

The analyst expressed confidence in Meta’s ability to outperform expectations, suggesting that it could surpass forecasts and raise future guidance, citing significant potential in its messaging services and generative artificial intelligence (Gen-AI) for creative purposes.

The analyst’s remarks also touched on the current market sentiment, describing Meta’s stock as a “crowded trade into the print.” This suggests that many investors may be anticipating positive results. Nonetheless, the analyst’s outlook implies that Meta stands out among major tech companies for its potential to exceed expectations and offer promising developments in technology.

In other recent news, Meta Platforms Inc. has initiated strategic adjustments impacting Instagram, WhatsApp, and Reality Labs teams. The company has been streamlining teams to align with long-term goals and location strategy, with some employees being relocated and others reassigned.

Meta has also been facing legal challenges, with a federal judge ordering the company to confront lawsuits alleging that its social media platforms contribute to addiction among teenagers.

Meanwhile, several financial firms have offered positive outlooks on Meta’s future. Cantor Fitzgerald maintained an Overweight rating on Meta, suggesting continued aggressive investment in infrastructure due to the AI arms race.

Stifel raised its price target for Meta to $663, citing strong momentum heading into the fourth quarter. Roth/MKM also raised the stock’s price target to $620, reflecting optimism in the company’s medium and long-term prospects.

Finally, Meta has made strides in combating disinformation, dismantling a network of fake accounts targeting users in Moldova ahead of the country’s presidential election and EU membership referendum. These are the recent developments involving Meta Platforms.

InvestingPro Insights

Meta Platforms Inc.’s strong financial position and market performance align well with Mizuho Securities’ bullish outlook. According to InvestingPro data, Meta boasts a market capitalization of $1.46 trillion, reflecting its dominant position in the tech sector. The company’s impressive revenue growth of 24.28% over the last twelve months supports Mizuho’s expectation of continued strong performance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Meta’s financial strength, noting that the company “holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet” and has “liquid assets exceed short term obligations.” These factors contribute to Meta’s financial flexibility, which could be crucial as the company navigates potential increases in capital expenditures, as mentioned in the Mizuho analysis.

Furthermore, Meta’s “impressive gross profit margins” of 81.49% underscore its operational efficiency, potentially allowing for the opex flexibility that Mizuho suggests could offset higher depreciation costs. The company’s strong profitability is further evidenced by its high return on assets of 23.54%.

For investors seeking more comprehensive insights, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Meta Platforms Inc., providing a deeper understanding of the company’s financial health and market position.

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